Geopolitical oil price risk not a major driver of global macroeconomic fluctuations

Joint with Lutz Kilian and Michael Plante 

Dallas Fed Economics, February 2025

Surging population growth from immigration may have little effect on inflation

Joint with Anton Cheremukhin, Sewon Hur, and Ron Mau 

Dallas Fed Economics, July 2024

Lower interest rates don't necessarily improve housing affordability

Joint with Xiaoqing Zhou

Dallas Fed Economics, April 2024

Strength in consumer spending does not necessarily imply low probability of recession

Joint with Xiaoqing Zhou

Dallas Fed Economics, January 2024

How long is the soft-landing runway for the labor market?

Joint with Tyler Atkinson

Dallas Fed Economics, October 2023

Job vacancy, unemployment relationship clouds 'soft landing' prospects

Joint with Nathaniel Throckmorton

Dallas Fed Economics, February 2023

What Might Inflation Look Like Next Year?

Joint with Tyler Atkinson and Jonah Danzinger

Dallas Fed Economics, October 2021

Pandemic Disproportionately Affects Women, Minority Labor Force Participation

Joint with Tyler Atkinson

Dallas Fed Economics, November 2020

Entry, Exit of Firms Amplify the Business Cycle

Joint with Joshua Bernstein and Nathaniel Throckmorton

Dallas Fed Economics, July 2020

The Production Process Drives Fluctuations in Output and Uncertainty

Joint with Tyler Atkinson, Michael Plante, and Nathaniel Throckmorton

Dallas Fed Economics, June 2020

COVID-19's Unprecedented Impact Alters U.S. Labor Market

Joint with Joshua Bernstein and Nathaniel Throckmorton

Dallas Fed Economics, June 2020

Consumer Surveys Suggest Economic Conditions Remain Healthy but Growth Is Slowing

Joint with Tyler Atkinson

Dallas Fed Economics, November 2019

Changes in Labor Force Participation Help Explain Recent Job Gains

Joint with Tyler Atkinson and Laton Russell

Dallas Fed Economics, February 2019

Declining U.S. Labor Force Participation Rates Stand Out

Joint with Daniel Chapman and Emil Mihaylov

Economic Letter, April 2018, Volume 13, Issue 6

Fed's Effective Lower Bound Constraint on Monetary Policy Created Uncertainty

Joint with Michael Plante and Nathaniel Throckmorton

Economic Letter, November 2017, Volume 12, Issue 11